Category Archives: Analytics

Kyiv is imposing its own rules of the game on Moscow with the operation in the Kursk region

In August 2024, Ukraine initiated a military offensive in the Kursk Oblast. As of mid-October, Ukraine controls a larger portion of Russian territory than Russia managed to capture in Donetsk Oblast during their summer offensive campaign.

Ukraine is slowly but steadily weakening Russia’s grip on Crimea

With international attention firmly fixed on the Russian army’s advances in eastern Ukraine and the Ukrainian invasion of Russia’s Kursk region, it is easy to overlook important developments taking place further south in Crimea. During 2024, Ukraine has achieved a number of strategic successes in and around the Russian-occupied peninsula that are worthy of closer…

Mission to “liberate Russia”: Russians join the Ukrainian Defense Forces to fight Putin’s regime

The current Russian government is confidently and purposefully turning Russia into the USSR 2.0. Total censorship, elimination of Russian opposition leaders, persecution of human rights activists, free journalists and public figures, prohibition of criticism of the government, especially the war of aggression in Ukraine – all this makes democratic ways of changing the government in…

Finnish Molotov cocktail for Russia

It has been over a year since Suomi (the Finnish name for Finland) became the 31st member of NATO. After joining the North Atlantic Alliance, threats were made against Finland, including by Putin himself, who said that there had been no problems, but now there would be.  In response, Russia created the Leningrad Military District…

Russia is delaying the exchange of prisoners of war and using it as a tool for internal destabilization and pressure on Ukraine

On July 17, Russia released 95 Ukrainian prisoners of war in exchange for 95 Russian soldiers. Since the beginning of the full-scale war in 2022, Ukraine has managed to conduct 54 prisoner exchanges, freeing 3,405 Ukrainians held captive. Unsurprisingly, the prisoner exchanges are of particularly high salience for Ukrainians because the lives and safety of…

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