Category Archives: Analytics

Ukraine’s growing military strength is an underrated factor in peace talks

Launch of the Neptune missile system. Photo by Oleksii Bobovnikov

Photo by Oleksii Bobovnikov Can Ukraine survive without US military aid? Could Kyiv’s European partners potentially fill the gap in weapons deliveries? Policymakers, analysts, and commentators around the world have been wrestling with these questions in recent weeks as they come to terms with US President Donald Trump’s foreign policy pivot away from Europe and…

The ICRC’s indifference and inaction kills just like Russian weapons

In recent years, Ukraine has been calling on all international organisations to put pressure on the Russian side to revive the exchange of prisoners of war and civilians, and to allow access to all prisoners of war – information about whom Russia deliberately conceals.

The approach of war in Dagestan could exacerbate internal conflicts in the problematic region for Russia

On November 6, a Ukrainian kamikaze drone (probably an A-22 Flying Fox) hit Russian warships in the Caspian Sea for the first time. According to the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, at least two targets were damaged. These are likely missile patrol ships Tatarstan and Dagestan moored at the Russian naval base in the city of Kaspiysk, Dagestan.

Kyiv is imposing its own rules of the game on Moscow with the operation in the Kursk region

In August 2024, Ukraine initiated a military offensive in the Kursk Oblast. As of mid-October, Ukraine controls a larger portion of Russian territory than Russia managed to capture in Donetsk Oblast during their summer offensive campaign.

Ukraine is slowly but steadily weakening Russia’s grip on Crimea

With international attention firmly fixed on the Russian army’s advances in eastern Ukraine and the Ukrainian invasion of Russia’s Kursk region, it is easy to overlook important developments taking place further south in Crimea. During 2024, Ukraine has achieved a number of strategic successes in and around the Russian-occupied peninsula that are worthy of closer…

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